02 Flagship Report · Forward-Looking

Budget With
Confidence.
Forecast With Precision.

Q3–Q4 2026 demand and rate forecasts for every major US corporate travel market — with base, upside, and downside scenarios built on 292 million confirmed transactions. The credible, data-driven view of where travel costs are heading.

Q3–Q42026 Forecasts
3Scenarios
25+Markets
20–25Pages
⚡ Launch Price — 50% Off
Predictive Benchmarking Report
— Report 02 of 04
$4,500 $2,250
Launch pricing through April 30 · Includes 1-year CTI subscription
Purchase Report — $2,250 → Register for a Webinar to hear more
🎁 Includes a free 1-year CTI platform subscription at launch
Available April 15, 2026
Executive scenario-planning format
Base · Upside · Downside modeling
Includes 1-year platform subscription
Built for CFOs, investors, and travel leaders

Three-Scenario Framework

The Market Could Go Three Ways. Know All Three.

The most useful forecasts aren't the ones that tell you what will happen — they're the ones that tell you what to do in each scenario. CTI's Predictive Benchmarking Report gives you all three, fully modeled and market-by-market.

Scenario 01 · Most Likely
Base Case

Continued moderate demand growth with stable rate environments across most tier-1 markets. Booking windows normalize toward pre-pandemic patterns. Supply additions in select markets create rate softening opportunities.

  • Stable rate trajectory in tier-1 markets
  • Moderate demand growth in most corridors
  • Booking windows trending toward 21–28 days
  • Select cities show rate softening signals
Scenario 02 · Bull Case
Upside Case

Stronger-than-expected corporate demand acceleration driven by robust hiring, increased M&A activity, and rising international business travel. Rate pressure intensifies in constrained supply markets. Early booking becomes critical.

  • Rate pressure intensifies across tier-1 markets
  • Demand significantly above prior-year levels
  • Supply constraints create negotiation urgency
  • Advance booking strategy becomes competitive advantage
Scenario 03 · Bear Case
Downside Case

Economic softening or macro headwinds reduce corporate travel volumes. Rate concessions become more available as occupancy declines. Budget-conscious travel policies return. Opportunity window for aggressive rate negotiations.

  • Travel volumes decline from 2024/2025 peaks
  • Rate concessions available across markets
  • Negotiation leverage shifts toward buyers
  • Policy tightening accelerates across sectors
Every scenario is built on actual transaction data from 292 million confirmed bookings. Not macroeconomic assumptions. Not extrapolated surveys. The CTI forecasting model uses real behavioral signals to project where each market is heading — and what that means for your budget.

What's Inside

H2 2026 Intelligence Built for Decision-Makers

This is the report for organizations that need to get ahead of the market — not catch up to it. The Predictive Benchmarking Report takes CTI's transaction dataset and models forward — giving you the demand signals, rate trajectories, and budget frameworks that matter most in H2 2026 planning.

Whether you're finalizing a travel budget, building an investment thesis on a travel-tech company, or setting supplier strategy for the back half of the year — this is the data foundation that replaces guesswork with evidence.

Q3Q4Forecast Period
3Scenarios
20–25Pages
Apr 15Available
01
Q3–Q4 2026 Demand & Rate Forecasts by Market

City-by-city demand projections and rate trajectory forecasts across all major US corporate markets. Know what's coming before you're negotiating against it.

02
Market Tightening Indicators & Supply Signals

Where supply is constrained and demand is rising — creating the rate pressure that will hurt unprepared travel programs and reward those who lock rates early.

03
Rate Softening Analysis by City & Hotel Tier

The flip side: markets where supply additions and demand softness are creating room to negotiate. Know where the leverage is before your competitors do.

04
Three-Scenario Models: Base, Upside & Downside

Full scenario modeling across all three cases for each major market. Includes the assumptions behind each model and the indicators to watch that signal a scenario shift.

05
Budget Planning Frameworks for Travel & Procurement

Structured tools for translating market forecasts into actionable budget models. Build a Q3–Q4 travel budget that finance will actually defend.

06
Executive Scenario-Planning Format

20–25 pages designed for executive presentations and board-level conversations. Every exhibit is clear, cited, and ready to use in any high-stakes setting.

Who This Report Is For

Built for Every Professional Who Has to Get the Future Right

The Predictive Benchmarking Report is CTI's most forward-looking product — purpose-built for organizations whose decisions today depend on what the travel market does next.

💼

Finance & Procurement

CFOs & Finance Teams

Build H2 2026 travel budgets on something better than last year's actuals and vendor estimates. This report gives finance teams the independent forward-looking intelligence to set and defend budgets with confidence.

  • Model Q3–Q4 travel spend across three scenarios
  • Identify which markets will see rate pressure vs. softening
  • Build budget variance plans for each scenario
  • Defend projections to board and executive leadership
🏢

Corporate Travel

Travel Managers & Program Leaders

Stop negotiating blind. Know which markets are tightening, which are softening, and what the rate environment will look like when your RFPs close. Position your program to win — not react.

  • Identify high-leverage markets before supplier negotiations
  • Time RFP submissions to market cycle signals
  • Set realistic program targets across all scenarios
  • Build the business case for strategic booking policy changes
📊

Investors & VC/PE

Investment & Portfolio Teams

Travel-adjacent investment theses depend on understanding where travel volume and pricing are heading. CTI's forward-looking model gives investors the credible demand signal they need — built from transactions, not assumptions.

  • Stress-test portfolio company travel assumptions
  • Validate market sizing in travel-adjacent sectors
  • Assess upside/downside scenarios pre-investment
  • Cite third-party transaction data in IC memos
✈️

Airlines & Hotels

Travel Suppliers & Revenue Teams

Demand forecasts built from 292 million confirmed corporate bookings give suppliers a demand signal that no survey can match. Align inventory, pricing, and sales strategy to where the corporate market is actually heading.

  • Anticipate demand shifts before they impact occupancy
  • Align inventory decisions to booking window projections
  • Position corporate rate strategy ahead of RFP season
  • Identify high-growth corridors for capacity expansion
🔬

Research & Analysis

Analysts & Research Firms

Sector forecasts are only as good as the data behind them. CTI's forward-looking models give research teams the transaction-based demand signal that replaces proxy-based extrapolations with evidence-based projections.

  • Ground sector forecasts in real behavioral data
  • Cite CTI demand models in published research
  • Build proprietary analysis on top of CTI forecasts
  • Track leading indicators across the travel demand cycle
🏨

Real Estate & Hospitality

Hospitality Investors & Developers

Hotel investment decisions depend on corporate demand projections. CTI provides the forward-looking demand signal — by market, by tier, by scenario — that hospitality investors need to underwrite new development or acquisitions confidently.

  • Validate demand assumptions for hotel underwriting
  • Assess market-level corporate demand trajectory
  • Stress-test acquisition models across CTI scenarios
  • Identify supply-constrained markets with rate upside

Budget Planning Framework

Turn Forecasts Into Budgets Finance Will Defend

The Predictive Benchmarking Report doesn't just show you where the market is heading — it gives you structured frameworks for translating those forecasts into defensible budget models. So when your CFO asks why you budgeted what you budgeted, you have an answer backed by 292 million trip records.

01
Establish Market-Level Rate Baselines

Ground your budget in real transacted averages — not supplier-provided benchmarks or last year's actuals.

02
Apply Scenario-Based Adjustments

Layer CTI's base, upside, and downside trajectory models onto your program's top markets and spending patterns.

03
Identify Negotiation Opportunities

Pinpoint the markets where supply signals suggest rate softening — and the ones where you need to lock rates now.

04
Build Your Board-Ready Variance Plan

Document your assumptions, scenario triggers, and response playbook. Walk into every budget review with a plan for every outcome.

Illustrative — Q3 2026 Rate Index by Market
New York, NY
+6.2%
San Francisco, CA
+4.8%
Chicago, IL
+3.1%
Atlanta, GA
+2.4%
Dallas, TX
+1.2%
Austin, TX
−0.8%
Denver, CO
−1.9%

Illustrative data. Actual figures available in the full report.

Ready to Purchase

Stop Guessing About
H2 2026

Available April 15, 2026. Includes a free 1-year CTI platform subscription. Launch pricing through April 30 — regular price is $4,500.

Launch pricing through April 30. Regular price $4,500. Includes complimentary 1-year CTI subscription.

Explore All Four Flagship Reports

Each report is sold individually and includes a free 1-year CTI platform subscription.